BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, November 17, 2024
South Florida 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.67 |
26.67 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
377.37 |
377.37 (+0.00) |
Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.72 |
5.72 (+0.00) |
South Florida 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.18 |
34.02 (+3.84) |
26.44 |
24.64 (-1.81) |
24.64 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
459.00 |
435.56 (-23.44) |
384.22 |
380.47 (-3.75) |
380.47 (+0.00) |
Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.01 |
5.58 (-0.43) |
5.43 |
5.31 (-0.12) |
5.31 (+0.00) |
Defense
Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
35.91 |
43.15 (+7.24) |
31.11 |
28.83 (-2.28) |
28.83 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
458.00 |
513.44 (+55.44) |
447.22 |
446.92 (-0.30) |
446.92 (+0.00) |
Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.45 |
7.12 (+0.67) |
6.32 |
6.21 (-0.10) |
6.21 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
Category
| Measure(s)
|
Home Field Advantage
| +2.2 |
Schedule Analysis
Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
2024-08-31 |
Bethune-Cookman |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 48-3 |
1-0 |
2024-09-07 |
@Alabama |
14.57 |
51.51 |
+36.94 |
66.09 |
0.10% |
L 16-42 |
1-1 |
2024-09-14 |
@Southern Miss |
34.55 |
11.10 |
-23.44 |
45.65 |
87.60% |
W 49-24 |
2-1 |
2024-09-21 |
Miami |
25.50 |
49.74 |
+24.24 |
75.23 |
11.12% |
L 15-50 |
2-2 |
2024-09-28 |
@Tulane |
17.37 |
45.55 |
+28.18 |
62.92 |
4.81% |
L 10-45 |
2-3 |
2024-10-12 |
Memphis |
28.67 |
33.62 |
+4.95 |
62.29 |
42.05% |
L 3-21 |
2-4 |
2024-10-19 |
UAB |
38.02 |
25.80 |
-12.23 |
63.82 |
69.61% |
W 35-25 |
3-4 |
2024-11-01 |
@Florida Atlantic |
29.94 |
22.22 |
-7.72 |
52.16 |
62.38% |
W 44-21 |
4-4 |
2024-11-09 |
Navy |
24.46 |
32.09 |
+7.63 |
56.56 |
37.76% |
L 7-28 |
4-5 |
2024-11-16 |
@Charlotte |
30.76 |
25.55 |
-5.21 |
56.31 |
58.36% |
W 59-24 |
5-5 |
2024-11-23 |
Tulsa |
40.55 |
17.48 |
-23.07 |
58.04 |
87.00% |
n/a |
n/a |
2024-11-30 |
@Rice |
23.85 |
24.59 |
+0.73 |
48.44 |
48.82% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
5-7 |
6.66% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
6-6 |
50.97% |
6.66% |
93.34% |
7-5 |
42.38% |
57.62% |
42.38% |
Expected Wins Analysis
Record
| Probability
|
1-11 |
0.01% |
2-10 |
0.26% |
3-9 |
2.19% |
4-8 |
9.02% |
5-7 |
21.03% |
6-6 |
29.24% |
7-5 |
24.02% |
8-4 |
11.17% |
9-3 |
2.77% |
10-2 |
0.27% |
11-1 |
0.01% |