BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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The Numbers |
Last Updated: 02:00 on Sunday, October 13, 2024
South Florida 2024 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
26.70 |
26.64 |
26.66 (+0.02) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
379.93 |
374.92 |
376.36 (+1.44) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.77 |
5.75 (-0.02) |
South Florida 2024 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
30.18 |
34.02 (+3.84) |
18.60 |
17.46 (-1.14) |
23.67 (+6.21) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
459.00 |
435.56 (-23.44) |
338.20 |
359.85 (+21.65) |
388.24 (+28.39) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.01 |
5.58 (-0.43) |
4.73 |
4.83 (+0.10) |
5.12 (+0.28) |
Defense
| Category
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Raw
| 2024 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2024 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
35.91 |
43.15 (+7.24) |
36.40 |
29.47 (-6.93) |
34.60 (+5.13) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
458.00 |
513.44 (+55.44) |
465.80 |
423.20 (-42.60) |
457.04 (+33.84) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.45 |
7.12 (+0.67) |
7.06 |
6.56 (-0.50) |
6.77 (+0.21) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.2 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2024-08-31 |
Bethune-Cookman |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 48-3 |
1-0 |
| 2024-09-07 |
@Alabama |
13.07 |
60.31 |
+47.24 |
73.38 |
0.10% |
L 16-42 |
1-1 |
| 2024-09-14 |
@Southern Miss |
34.15 |
13.15 |
-21.00 |
47.30 |
83.68% |
W 49-24 |
2-1 |
| 2024-09-21 |
Miami |
19.81 |
54.00 |
+34.20 |
73.81 |
0.10% |
L 15-50 |
2-2 |
| 2024-09-28 |
@Tulane |
22.78 |
52.18 |
+29.40 |
74.96 |
2.84% |
L 10-45 |
2-3 |
| 2024-10-12 |
Memphis |
25.36 |
38.21 |
+12.84 |
63.57 |
29.40% |
L 3-21 |
2-4 |
| 2024-10-19 |
UAB |
37.11 |
29.71 |
-7.40 |
66.82 |
61.87% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-01 |
@Florida Atlantic |
24.58 |
30.90 |
+6.33 |
55.48 |
39.85% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-09 |
Navy |
24.12 |
33.86 |
+9.74 |
57.98 |
34.38% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-16 |
@Charlotte |
25.94 |
26.96 |
+1.01 |
52.90 |
48.38% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-23 |
Tulsa |
35.71 |
20.07 |
-15.64 |
55.78 |
75.09% |
n/a |
n/a |
| 2024-11-30 |
@Rice |
33.09 |
37.00 |
+3.91 |
70.09 |
43.73% |
n/a |
n/a |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 2-10 |
1.08% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
| 3-9 |
8.16% |
1.08% |
98.92% |
| 4-8 |
23.30% |
9.23% |
90.77% |
| 5-7 |
32.80% |
32.54% |
67.46% |
| 6-6 |
24.09% |
65.33% |
34.67% |
| 7-5 |
9.20% |
89.42% |
10.58% |
| 8-4 |
1.38% |
98.62% |
1.38% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.12% |
| 2-10 |
1.59% |
| 3-9 |
7.97% |
| 4-8 |
20.43% |
| 5-7 |
29.14% |
| 6-6 |
24.60% |
| 7-5 |
12.26% |
| 8-4 |
3.45% |
| 9-3 |
0.43% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |